Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 89.143267 101.679304 116.333676 134.990011 158.500486 1.877063e+02 227.677006
2024-10-20 72.968353 88.681375 109.003958 138.173262 180.763334 2.440574e+02 353.205484
2024-10-27 62.392280 78.668566 101.029940 135.666339 191.602733 2.867392e+02 486.816021
2024-11-03 58.279528 76.018197 101.816715 144.902059 222.259420 3.758085e+02 794.940280
2024-11-10 57.399285 77.521680 108.589473 164.962670 279.646817 5.583104e+02 1712.639674
2024-11-17 52.834252 72.735248 104.507429 165.015995 298.007473 6.690750e+02 2870.781922
2024-11-24 48.723431 68.081321 99.811239 162.647079 310.044297 7.764225e+02 4947.042923
2024-12-01 45.186973 63.920881 95.310485 159.579126 319.270086 8.886494e+02 9368.151993
2024-12-08 42.618699 61.054739 92.657918 159.689132 337.103619 1.065762e+03 27798.149236
2024-12-15 40.423600 58.580668 90.364996 160.050853 356.181085 1.291868e+03 282742.456435
2024-12-22 37.673369 54.924169 85.456494 153.590785 351.928013 1.385282e+03 NaN
2024-12-29 36.578940 54.018293 85.625374 158.941951 389.272748 1.881309e+03 NaN
2025-01-05 33.724476 50.054789 79.930714 150.317904 378.547864 2.011032e+03 NaN
2025-01-12 32.351166 48.640426 79.170399 154.091619 418.773228 2.979314e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 30.515547 46.223498 76.080732 151.143814 430.745333 3.791166e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 30.038472 46.227593 77.942755 162.028070 516.045602 8.584000e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 30.434173 47.883946 83.564110 185.871038 711.064518 1.026228e+05 NaN
2025-02-09 29.162418 46.224026 81.620538 185.934776 763.249045 2.406883e+06 NaN
2025-02-16 27.836205 44.355899 78.987286 183.105074 793.090119 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 26.579738 42.538641 76.284042 179.445888 814.243145 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 25.636793 41.280305 74.761985 179.576985 872.945344 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 24.783118 40.142110 73.405208 180.008116 939.860532 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 23.586251 38.239661 70.034923 172.321649 910.508747 NaN NaN